I've been absentee but had to stop and quickly put up a link to an article interviewing economist Zvi Bodie, who says that people who need the arguably or historical higher return of stocks probably can't afford to take on the associated risk of stocks:
"You can't handle the truth about stocks" on CNNMoney
Brodie more or less says that most people are better off saving a higher percentage of their salary, investing 100% in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), and retiring later -- even if they have a long time horizon until retirement. In other words, he turns what most pundits on financial planning and what many, many of us are doing on its head.
Read the article, and then come back here to comment on what you think of Brodie's advice!
Most People Can't Afford to Invest in Stocks??
Blog, Blog, Bo-Blog
Can I Get Rich On A Salary participated in three personal-finance blog carnivals last week. And by the way, I found a new personal-finance blog that is heavier on consumer orientation—authored by an experienced blogger whose writings I had already enjoyed on other blogs—so I recommend you check it out: The Smarter Wallet (tagline: "Money Tips, Consumer News and Product Reviews To Improve Your Finances"). BankerGirl hosted Carnival of Personal Finance at BankerGirl, on September 8. Here are some selected excerpts: Quest For Four Pillars - 4% Rule Revisited - I want a raise!… Living Almost Large - Why aren't we honest? … Check out the rest of the Carnival! My post, The Lady Whose $50,000 Emergency Fund Wasn't Enough?, was included under "Saving and Budgeting." The Copyeditor's Desk hosted The Carnival of Money Stories on September 9. Here are some excerpts: FMF, Free Money Finance, My Kids Tell Me Why We Pay Taxes… PT, Prime Time Money, Millionaires in the Making: The Rodrigueses… MoneyNing, Buy an Investment Property or Dividend-yielding Stocks?… Silicon Valley Blogger, The Digerati Life, An Immigration Story… Glblguy, Gather Little by Little, Share Your Story: What Is the Dumbest Thing You've Ever Spent Money On?… Don't miss the rest of the Carnival! My post, Ed McMahon Personal Finance Fairy Tale?, was mentioned under "Tales of the Rich and Famous." Living Almost Large hosted Money Hacks Carnival #29: Food Heaven, on September 10. Here's a sampling: Austin asks the question if you won money what would you do with it in What if I gave you 100,000 bucks? posted at The Orange Paper… Sandy Naidu tells us about credit card tricks in Top 5 Dirty Little Credit Card Tricks posted at Future Nest Egg… Lisa Spinelli gives us 10 way to get into debt in 10 Ways to Bury Yourself In Debt posted at Greener Pastures… Del Sandeen explains about debt settlement in 3 Reasons to Run from Debt Settlement Companies posted at Fiscal Liberty… Sam talks about insurance you don't need in 14 Totally Ridiculous Insurance You Probably Don?t Need posted at Fix My Personal Finance - Personal Finance Advice - Money Management Advice… The Shark Investor talks about career development in Investing In Yourself posted at The Shark Investor… Visit the Carnival! My post, 40% Wealthier?, was included under "Savings/Budget." Other Links Outside of blog carnivals, I found the following posts at personal-finance blogs interesting, educational, informative, entertaining, or some combination of those—consider checking them out! Other Mentions Here are some other mentions of Can I Get Rich On A Salary, outside of blog carnivals, from the past week or so. Thanks to all of these great personal-finance blogs for mentioning Can I Get Rich On A Salary to their readers. Please visit their blogs! [Editor's Note: In case you are not familiar with blog carnivals, a blog carnival is a multi-blog event in which a number of bloggers aggregate their articles within a certain theme or subject area into one post. The "host" of the carnival writes up the post on his or her blog and includes links to the various articles. Hopefully, this helps readers as they get a "one stop shop" of articles. I post a weekly recap of the blog carnivals in which I have participated—and try also to cull out a few articles that I'd like to share with you here.]
(at The Millionaire Mommy Next Door)
Success Stories: Dry Cleaner and Part-Time Janitor with Third-Grade Education Accumulates More than $2,300,000
In 2004, Geno Morlacci died at age 102—and left $2.3 million to the University of Great Falls, where he had worked as a part-time janitor. Morlacci never had more than a third-grade education. He immigrated to the United States in 1921 at age 19, to help his father run a tavern; he then worked in dry-cleaning for 20 years; and he started his own a dry-cleaning business in 1948, which he ran until he sold it in 1962. He handled every part of his dry-cleaning business—pick-up, delivery, cleaning, and pressing—with his only outside help coming from a cashier. After selling the business, he went into semi-retirement, taking on a part-time job as a janitor at the university, which he left when the university decided it needed full-time help. How did he do it? As best as I can tell: I don't know squat about the dry-cleaning business, but it doesn't seem likely that Morlacci was earning a huge income there. One writer specifically stated he, as a newspaper reporter for the Deseret Morning News, "probably ma[d]e a lot more than Morlacci did cleaning clothes 18 hours a day." So Morlacci's path to millions seems to be summed up as extremely diligent saving and investing over many years. I wish it was a little clearer what he did with his investments and, for instance, at what price he sold his business and what he did with that lump sum. Now with some of the previous Success Stories on this blog, folks have commented that it seemed pointless to retire or pass away with so much money and then just give it all away. That's not really my takeaway—and I'm not really trying to judge what Morlacci or others do with their money (though you're welcome to comment on whatever you like!). The point for me is really a broken record: if you save and invest for many years, a million or a couple of million dollars is certainly in reach. And this appears to hold true even if your income is low. And if your income's not low, you really have no excuse. (Sources: Will of 102-Year-Old Janitor, Dry Cleaner Leaves $2.3 Million to University; University benefactor recalled as simple, thrifty man; Geno Morlacci set an example for all to follow.) Related Posts: Success Stories: Drama Teacher with Modest Salary Accumulates Well Over $4,000,000 Success Stories: Elementary School Teacher Becomes Multimillionaire Through Saving and Investing
Man Bites Dog — Beats Airline in Dispute Over Canceled Flight!
The article describes our "hero," Mitchell Berns—and his beatdown of Delta Airlines. Delta canceled Berns' direct flight from Las Vegas to New York City and rescheduled him for a redeye that connected through Boston, claiming "snow" as the reason for cancellation. Berns noticed that other airlines were still making the same flight as scheduled. So he asked Delta for a refund. Delta told him that weather-related cancellations were not its fault and could not be refunded. Undaunted, Berns booked a JetBlue flight that was departing at the same time as his canceled Delta flight and got home to New York on schedule. Berns found out that the National Weather Service report said snow was expected at 5:00 a.m. the next morning, hours after his canceled Delta flight was supposed to have landed. This of course explained why he had no problem getting another flight with another airline. So he took Delta to small claims court and won a $938 judgment. Check out, A Flier Strikes Back, for the rest of the details! Berns reported that pursuing the refund took him about four hours. This is a good reminder that it can be worthwhile to take the time to push back when a store or even an airline does not provide the product or service for which you have paid!I don't know if this is much of a personal-finance blog post, but it's too good a consumer story not to mention and link: A Flier Strikes Back (in Fortune magazine).
Frugality Tips from a Setsuyaku No Tatsujin
I don't ordinarily think of BusinessWeek as much of a source for frugality tips, but the September 15, 2008 issue of BusinessWeek mentions some frugality tips from Japan in its article, A Nation of Yen-Pinchers. In particular, it features some of the ideas from a leading Japanese personal-finance blogger named Yuki Wada, a setsuyaku no tatsujin—master penny pincher. Inflation is a big problem in Japan, where gas costs $7.15 a gallon and average household spending is expected to go up about $840 for the year. So Wada and other Japanese bloggers writing on how to save money are quite popular! Wada's tips mentioned in the article include: I'm not sure how many of these might be for me, but I was interested enough to try and find Yuki Wada's blog. It didn't come up quickly (though other articles about her did). Perhaps it's in Japanese and inaccessible to me in any event. Yuki Wada's overall tip, from the article, is:I tell people you shouldn't be thrifty just in response to rising prices. It should become a daily habit.
Is It Better To Think Short-Term When It Comes to Saving?
The September 15, 2008 issue of BusinessWeek includes a Plus column tidbit titled, Short-Term Thinking May be a Saver's Best Friend. It discusses research by Professor Utpal Dholakia of Rice University and Professor Leona Tam of Old Dominion University—and their conclusion that "those who planned savings for next month did far better than those who tried to plan further out." In one of their experiments, people were asked how much they would save the following month and reported (on average) $287. This in mind, they then went on to save (on average) $440 that following month. But when asked to plan ahead four months, people said they would save (on average) $946 over that time. And they then went on to save (on average) a grand total of only $123—which translates to $30.75 per month. If I've read the experiment description in the article correctly, people concentrating a one-month savings goal did more than 14 times better than those concentrating on a four-month savings goal. Professor Dholakia indicated he was "shocked" by the results. In advising that people concentrate on saving for the following month, he told BusinessWeek: Don't plan in advance because it makes you overoptimistic. You think: "I might get a windfall or a raise." And not only do people who give a savings estimate for four months from now estimate too high but they become more risk-seeking. The risk-seeking behavior seems to include making riskier (and impliedly inappropriate) investments and preferring jobs with high pay but low job security. In other articles reporting on the same study (Study: When saving, it's best not to think long term and Lower Stress by Saving A Little From Each Paycheck), Professor Tam echoed the advice to concentrate on the following month: "[Y]ou have more control over it. You can actually formulate how to do it in more concrete ways." She elaborated: The easiest thing to do is to be a smarter consumer and make spending and saving decisions thoughtfully on a daily basis — that extra cup of coffee every morning, carpooling with a co-worker and cutting out the 'extras.' I'm trying to get ahold of a copy of the study to learn more, but so far, this seems like pretty interesting stuff. Though I don't know the details of the study yet, my initial reaction is to take the buzzworthy headlines and synopses advising not to think long-term with a grain of salt. I'd suggest interpreting the study to mean we should approaching savings goals like this: From the concededly brief news articles on Professors Dholakia's and Tam's study that I've read, this would achieve the gains of short-term thinking—without sacrificing what I would still call the necessity of longer-term thinking. After all, if you are only thinking about the coming month, it may be harder to identify an issue such as a need to make more money that may drive you to reconsider how you look at your current job. And remember, if you follow what I think is one of the best ways to save—automating your savings—this might well shield you from some of the problems revealed by Professors Dholakia's and Tam's study. Related Posts:
Warren Buffet’s “10 Ways to Get Rich”?
The front cover of Parade magazine features a photo of a smiling Warren Buffet next to the headline, "10 Ways to Get Rich: Warren's Buffett's Secrets That Can Work For You!" For me? Really? Okay, tabloid-style headline aside, if you've been reading me long enough, you know I'm a big fan of Warren Buffett. So I promptly stole away the Parade magazine before my wife got to the paper or before my kids could strew it all over the house (a process which takes them approximately 3.6 seconds)—and retreated to somewhere I had half a chance of getting through the article. The article is based on a new book that is coming out later this month, The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life. It's an "authorized biography," and the author, Alice Schroeder apparently spent hundreds of hours interviewing Buffett for the book. Hundreds of hours? Pretty sweet. So here were the 10 "secrets": I wouldn't call any of these secrets, and I'd be willing to bet that most of these nuggets of wisdom appear in past books, articles, writings, and quotes about or by Buffett (and in his annual letters to shareholders). And I think most of these are pretty self-explanatory, except perhaps, "Never suck your thumb." The article describes that one as being decisive and acting quickly. Get the information you need to make a decision—but then move forward and making that decision on an appropriate timeline or with an appropriate deadline. The article explains that Buffett "calls any unnecessary sitting and thinking 'thumb-sucking.'" But what was both interesting and powerful in the article for me was the many personal stories woven into the "secrets," illustrating how Buffett learned that particular lesson or how he implements it for himself. For instance, in the article's description of the first point, "Reinvest your profits": In high school, [Buffett] and a pal bought a pinball machine to put in a barbershop. With the money they earned, they bought more machines until they had eight in different shops. When the friends sold the venture, Buffett used the proceeds to buy stock and to start another business. By age 26, he'd amassed $174,000—or $1.4 million in today's money. Nice! These are what make the article definitely worth checking out: 10 Ways to Get Rich: Warren's Buffett's Secrets That Can Work For You! Related Posts: What Buffett's Been Doing Lately—And Does Kiplinger's Have a Man Crush? Where I Outperform Warren Buffett (And What I Think It Means) So A Slow-Moving Ape Can Beat The Market? Diminishing Returns In The Stock Market According to Warren Buffett


